Weather at Noon: Watching possible severe storms this evening

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Our Friday starts chilly before we turn mild again for the afternoon. Our approaching storm system should give some spots some scattered t-storms in the afternoon and a chance for some strong to severe t-storms for the evening. Low severe threat with some wind and hail possible. – Doug

Read more from the KOAM SkyWatch Weather Blog here.

Staying mild on the updated weekly planner

Our fresh look at the weekly planner does keep temperatures mild for the next several days. However, we’ll bounce between dry time and t-storm chances throughout the stretch. Behind our last cold front that passed through today, we’ll be dry and mostly sunny for Thursday. Our next system will bring a chance for scattered t-storms our way on Friday and depart as a few morning showers for Saturday. While another quick wave could bring some scattered AM t-storms for Easter Sunday, we’re expecting a dry Sunday afternoon under partly sunny skies. After a dry Monday with partly sunny skies, we’ll watch for our next chance for severe weather with returning t-storms Tuesday afternoon, Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. After highs bounce back into the middle 60s for Thursday, we’ll see highs near 70° for Good Friday. From Saturday through Monday, we’ll stay just on the mild side with highs around 61°. Expect highs to climb back into the middle 60s for next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Severe threat continuing this evening to our east

After dealing with rain and t-storms this morning that were a bit on the strong side for southwestern Missouri and other areas along the I-44 corridor, we spent the afternoon pushing rain chances off to our east and clearing the skies out. That will leave us dry, quiet and cold for tonight as lows will drop off into the lower to middle 30s. The cold front that passed on through this morning is continuing to spawn severe weather from the Ohio River Valley down to the Gulf Coast this evening. In fact, the Storm Prediction Center is still maintaining an elevated to high risk of severe weather for parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Missouri, Illinois and Indiana. A low risk extends farther southwest into eastern Texas and northeast into parts of western Ohio. While the risk for hail and wind will exist for areas under the low severe threat, it will be higher (along with the risk for some tornadoes) in the elevated and high risk areas. The storms should be trending weaker toward the overnight hours and into Thursday morning.

Car wash forecast – April 14th-16th

The updated car wash forecast keeps us in great shape for Thursday. Even though we’ll start the day on a cold note, we’ll warm back into the 60s under mostly sunny skies. Given how the day will be dry, we’re giving Thursday a good rating with the easy go-ahead for a fresh coat of wax. For Friday, we’ll give the day a fair rating. We will have some scattered t-storms for parts of the area during the day while others will stay dry. The best chance for any t-storms seems to favor the afternoon and evening hours. That system will depart on Saturday. Before it can, we could see a few showers during the morning hours. Given that and how we’ll dry out for the rest of the day, we’ll give Saturday a fair rating with the better chance to clean your car during the afternoon.

Car wash forecast – April 13th-15th

The updated car wash forecast has some rain and t-storms chances to dodge with a good deal of dry time to take advantage of as well. While we’ll be dry for this evening, we’ll have our t-storm chances pick up during Wednesday morning (low severe threat for wind and hail). Once the cold front pushes east of the area after the noon hour, we’ll be done with our rain chances for the day. Wednesday will get a fair rating with the better time for any car washing set for the afternoon and evening hours. Under partly sunny skies and dry weather for Thursday, we’ll give the day a good rating with the go-ahead for a fresh coat of wax. By Friday, we’ll watch for another system to head our way. While the day looks like it’ll start dry, scattered t-storm chances will pick up during the afternoon and evening hours. Given that, we’ll give Friday a fair rating with the best chance for any car washing primarily during the morning hours.

Severe threat likely to the east of us Wednesday

As our next cold front works through the region and eventually to our east Wednesday, that will continue to be the focal point for t-storms (even severe weather) for the day ahead. The front will pass through our area first Wednesday morning. At the start of the morning, we’ll have t-storms in a bit of a weakening state coming in from the west. However, new t-storms will redevelop and intensify across southwest Missouri during the late morning hours. By the time we hit the noon hour, any chances for t-storms or a low severe threat (wind and hail) will be east of the area. However, a line of t-storms along the front and individual t-storms ahead of the front will certainly be possible as the front works across central and eastern Missouri during the afternoon. In fact, an elevated to high risk of severe weather has been outlined for areas to the east. If you have family and friends around the St. Louis area, in southern Illinois and down into the Missouri Bootheel along the Mississippi River and Interstate 55, give them a heads up about the severe threat for tomorrow. The storms will be capable of wind gusts between 60 and 80 mph, some very large hail and some tornadoes. We’ll keep an eye on this system as it works in Wednesday morning and throughout the day as it shifts to the east.