Rain chances stick with us through Thursday; Warmer this weekend

Rain chances are not done in the Four States just yet. Showers with isolated thunder are likely through 10 AM or so this morning, and then we just have a chance for isolated showers this afternoon. We should be mostly dry as we warm to a high of 67 later today. Most of tonight should be dry, as well, until we cool into the lower 50s tomorrow morning. Isolated showers are still possible through Thursday, but once the sunshine returns on Friday, temperatures will soar. Memorial Day Weekend is expected to see plenty of sunshine and temperatures in the 80s. Sunday and Monday could be a little breezy at times, but we’re expecting mostly dry and above average conditions through the end of May.

Showers and storms continue through Tuesday

Showers and storms will continue through Tuesday, but there will be some dry time, especially in SW Missouri and NW Arkansas. The highest rainfall totals will remain to our west, where they will likely see continuous rainfall through the day. We do have a slight chance to see some stronger thunderstorms this afternoon and evening with some frequent lightning and strong winds, but that threat will primarily stay south.

We’ll start to dry out into Wednesday morning, but we still have a chance for on and off showers/storms through Wednesday and Thursday as this system sticks around. There will be plenty of dry time through these two days, but rain chances won’t hit zero until Friday. Sunshine will return, and temperatures will warm back into the 80s for Memorial Day Weekend. Right now, this weekend is trending dry for the Four States, but we’ll keep you updated with any changes.

Cool start to the week; Rain to track into Tuesday

Monday will still be cooler with highs in the 60s, and we’ll also see a good amount of cloud cover. A few isolated showers are possible this evening, but most rain will hold off until closer to sunrise into Tuesday. Heavy rain is likely through parts of Tuesday, but the highest rainfall totals (over 2″) should stay closer to Wichita. Everyone else will likely see about an inch of rain through Wednesday. Severe weather is not expected at this time, but heavy rain lingering over an area could lead to flash flooding, so we will need to monitor that. Rain will keep temperatures in the 60s through Wednesday, but we’ll warm back into the 80s by Friday. Memorial Day weekend will see temperatures slightly above average, and it will be a bit breezy, but it is trending drier right now.

Some Thursday morning storms; More rain Friday night into Saturday

Scattered showers and storms are making their way across the Four States to begin your Thursday, but everyone will be dry by about 10-11 AM. Clouds will decrease through this afternoon as we warm into the upper 80s again. Temperatures will only cool into the lower 70s tonight as winds pick up into Friday morning. Friday is trending dry with some sunshine and highs in the middle 80s, but rain will return overnight.

A strong cold front will move through the Four States after the sun sets on Friday, bringing us below average temperatures and rain chances. Rain chances will stick with us through Friday night and Saturday, but there should be some dry time. We do have a very small wind and hail threat for storms tomorrow night, but storms don’t look like they’ll be organized enough to produce much of that. Rainfall totals could be up to an inch or so the further east you go.

Temperatures will drop into the 60s this weekend and into the beginning of next week. Sunday should remain dry, but rain chances pick up again into Monday. Rain looks most likely into Tuesday, but there is still another chance for rain on Wednesday. There should be a good amount of dry time into early next week as temperatures try to warm back to near the average highs in the upper 70s.

Warm and humid through Thursday; Strong cold front late Friday

As storms exit this morning, clouds will slowly follow that system eastward, and we’ll see a good amount of sunshine this afternoon. Temperatures will warm into the middle to upper 80s with a slight heat index. Thursday will be similar with highs in the upper 80s, but we do have a very small rain chance to track early tomorrow morning. Most will stay dry as we’ll mainly just be humid through the end of the week.

Friday is still the day to pay attention to, as a strong cold front will pass over the Four States late in the day. Rain chances look to increase in the evening and into Friday night, with a small potential for strong to severe storms. Rain could linger on and off through parts of Saturday, but there is still a lot of uncertainty with the timing and intensity of this system. One thing that is certain though: temperatures will drop into the 60s through the weekend.

We’ll be monitoring a few more rain chances through the beginning of next week as temperatures slowly warm back into the 70s through the end of May. The average high temperatures for this time of year are typically in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

Scattered storms possible through Tuesday; More storms for Friday

Scattered showers and storms are possible through this morning, but we should dry out around lunchtime. We’ll see some sunshine and dry time this afternoon as we warm into the lower 80s for your Tuesday. By this evening, we have another chance for storms, and some of those could see stronger winds and some hail. The largest severe threat should stay to our north overnight. A few showers could linger into early Wednesday morning before we dry out.

Wednesday and Thursday should be dry–just warm and humid with high temperatures in the upper 80s. The timing of Friday’s cold front is still up in the air, but it will likely provide storm chances late on Friday and into early Saturday. Temperatures will fall into the 60s for Saturday as we see below average temperatures through the weekend and into next week. As it gets closer, we’ll be able to narrow down the time frame for these storms, so stay tuned!

Spring-like Monday; Rain chances return tomorrow

After yesterday’s storms, we’re a touch cooler for your Monday. Today will consist of sunny skies, calm winds, low humidity and highs in the 70s. The chance for scattered showers and storms returns Tuesday morning, as we warm back into the 80s for the week. We should be mostly dry through the rest of Tuesday until the overnight hours into early Wednesday morning. The rest of Wednesday and Thursday are trending drier, and that will likely last into early Friday, as well.

Uncertainty lies in Friday and the weekend forecast. Right now, it looks likely that a strong cold front will pass over the Four States, bringing storm chances and below average temperatures to the area. The question is when that will happen. At the moment, it looks most likely that the storms will occur Friday night into early Saturday morning, but that could change, so stay updated with the latest forecasts. Temperatures will likely drop into the upper 60s and lower 70s behind this system.

Severe storms likely Sunday afternoon and evening

Clouds are expected to increase through your Saturday night as temperatures cool into the middle 60s. Temperatures on Sunday should quickly warm into the lower 80s before storms take over the forecast. Between Noon & 8 PM Sunday, storms will likely pop up, and they will have plenty of energy to produce 60+ MPH winds and 1+” diameter hail. Localized heavy downpours are also possible during this time period. While the tornado threat is virtually zero, note that these storms can still create a lot of damage. Make sure to stay weather aware through Sunday afternoon and evening.

Behind this storm system, temperatures will fall into the 70s on Monday with less humid air. Isolated storms become possible again into Tuesday, and we’ll have to monitor a few more chances through the 7-day forecast. Note that there will be plenty of dry time and temperatures in the 80s, but we’re in a weather pattern right now that supports many chances for pop-up thunderstorms. Stay tuned!

Thunderstorms return for Friday; Less humid on Saturday

The chance for scattered showers and storms will stick with the Four States all day long, but there will be plenty of dry time–especially during the late morning and early afternoon. By the time the second round of storms rolls around, we’ll see a high temperatures in the middle 80s. The best chance for strong to severe storms is between 4 – 11 PM with wind and hail being the primary threats. Localized heavy rain is possible, but that threat should stay mainly to our east as we’ll likely see about a half inch of rainfall.

Skies will clear into tomorrow with less humid air as we warm into the middle 80s for Saturday. Clouds will increase again into Sunday ahead of another chance for storms Sunday afternoon. These storms could also pose a wind and hail threat. Monday looks to be dry and cooler with highs in the lower 80s before a few more chances for isolated to scattered storms into the middle of next week.

Record warmth today; Strong to severe storms possible Friday

Yesterday, we tied a record high at 90°. Today, we will likely break the old May 12th record in Joplin (88° in 1963) with a forecast high of 91° this afternoon. Expect heat index values in the middle 90s and a lot of sunshine through your Thursday. Overnight, we’ll still be warm and humid as clouds increase ahead of rain chances into tomorrow.

Scattered storms could begin right before sunrise Friday morning, so tomorrow could have a rainy start. Showers and thunderstorms could pop up through the day in any area, so keep the umbrella handy. We will have to monitor the storms that pop up Friday evening and into the overnight hours, as those could have a severe wind and hail threat for affected areas.

Note that we will see a lot of dry time through the 7-day forecast. We’re just monitoring a few chances for showers and storms since we will be entering a weather pattern that will support the formation of thunderstorms. The best chances for that right now look to be early Sunday and again on Tuesday. Temperatures will remain in the 80s for a while.