Good Friday evening, everyone. This has been quite a week. From the one things that happened on Sunday that we won’t bring back up here to the gloomy weather, we somehow made it through the week. Mother Nature kept us cloudy and cold all week long. After we saw periods of freezing drizzle to start the week, our wave on Wednesday change things up to periods of random flurries for yesterday and Tuesday. We stayed in the winter chill once again with temperatures stayed in the teens for today and for the past 36 hours at Joplin Regional.

Our latest look at the weather setup at the surface shows high pressure still in control centered over the Northern Plains and the Upper Midwest. Any signs of warmer air is well into the Southeast and into the Southwest.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, the upper-low that broke free from the polar vortex in the Arctic Circle is keeping us downright cold as we watch an upper-low work across Arizona and coming out of the Pacific/Gulf of Alaska.

Ahead of the upper-low ready to work into the Pacific Northwest, we have already seen winter storm watches go out for our part of Kansas west of US 69 and for northwest Arkansas. Almost all of Oklahoma (including our corner of northeast Oklahoma) are under a winter storm warning for midnight Sunday morning until we head into next Monday evening at 6 PM.

Before that system gets going around here, we’ll stick with cloudy skies for tonight and some random snow flurries flying about. With a northeast breeze at 10-15 mph, we’ll have lows dropping back into the middle to upper single digits across much of the area. Wind chills will make it feel it’s between -10 and -5 as we start Saturday morning out.

With skies staying cloudy and some random snow flurries still around, don’t expect much of a warm up throughout our Saturday. All across the region, highs will only range between the lower and middle teens as the Joplin area should top out around 15 for the afternoon.

While there won’t be much disrupting things during the day, it’s Saturday night and heading into Sunday morning that our storm system starts to bring snow chances up and into the region. As that happens, we’ll see overnight lows drop back into the lower to middle single digits.

The snow coming in Saturday night and into Sunday morning is the first of 3 waves that this storm system will bring our way. This first wave kicks off as light to moderate snow for Sunday morning and early Sunday afternoon. Once we get into the middle of the afternoon, we should see the activity back down to some scattered light snow. Still, with the snow and cloudy skies, we’ll only see highs top out around 8 for the afternoon.

Heading into Sunday evening and early Monday morning, wave number 2 will bring in another good batch of light to moderate snowfall across much of the region. You see how we start temperatures late Sunday night in the lower to middle single digits. This second batch of snow will work to bring lows down to -7 across much of the area as we head into Monday morning.

Once we get into Monday morning after sunrise, we should see the second wave of this system wind down and work to the east. Wave number 3 wants to stay mainly south of the region. While that wave wants the moderate to heavy snow to stay in southern/central Oklahoma, Arkansas and Louisiana, it will give us a glancing blow with additional snow during the afternoon. Once we get deep into Monday evening, this whole storm system should be done with us.

In terms of potential snow from this storm system, we’re looking at most of the region picking between 3 and 6 inches of snow from Sunday and Monday’s rounds of snow. The heaviest snow totals of 6 to 9 inches want to stay mainly to our south, but it may try to clip parts of Benton county and other parts of northwestern Arkansas. If that 3rd wave of snow for Monday afternoon pushes a little farther to the north, we may have to adjust these amounts. This is something we’ll still keep an eye on and adjust as needed over the next day or so.

Beyond this system, we’ll stay quiet for Tuesday but downright cold. With the Arctic air in place and the snowpack, we’ll have lows dropping down to at least -10 for Tuesday morning. Those are lows we haven’t seen in about a decade around here. If we have some of the cloud cover clear out by Monday night and Tuesday morning, we may drop colder than -10 to start the day out. For now, we’ll stick with mostly cloudy skies on Tuesday. We’ll start at around -10 and try to work back into the middle teens for the afternoon. Come Wednesday, we’ll have another wave wanting to work in and bring additional snow back into the region.

This wave will stick around through Thursday and keep us under the clouds with snow chances across parts of the region. While this wave is nowhere near as impressive as the Sunday/Monday storm system, this could bring minor snow amounts our way. Look at the setup below for Thursday, though. Once we get that wave out of here, we should see skies turn partly sunny for next Friday. That should be enough to get us back near 32 by Friday afternoon and back above freezing for next weekend.

If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of February and much of March, Doug has you covered with his long-range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Saturday!

Nick

Next Saturday:  Temperatures finally getting back above freezing as we stay quiet under partly sunny skies.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.

Good early Thursday morning, everyone. As advertised, we had another wave come through yesterday with another round of light freezing drizzle. Fortunately, with more lift and more moisture to work with, we had some light snow flurries mixing in. Whatever you saw, any amounts we saw remained very minor as we stayed cloudy and cold throughout the day. After we saw highs near 20 on Tuesday, we only saw temperatures drop back into the upper teens at Joplin Regional before we inched back near 20 for our Wednesday high.

Looking at our weather setup, the surface setup hasn’t really changed at all since we last wrote. With a couple of fronts to our south keeping any resemblance of relatively milder air to our south along the Gulf Coast. High pressure centered over the Northern Plains remains in control and is keeping us much colder than normal.

Upstairs, the big upper-level low north of Minneapolis remains in control. This strong low is keeping the jet stream well to our south. We also note two other lows to our west. We have one upper low spinning across Arizona with another low in the Pacific that we’re watching closely.

The upper low in Arizona will stay mainly to our south. That being said, it will send some upper-level energy our way for today. That will keep us mainly cloudy, but we won’t rule out some random snow flurries for parts of the area. Everyone starts cold this morning with most areas around Joplin near 15. You’ll be a bit colder if you’re northwest of Joplin and a tad warmer to the south.

Our day will be another cloudy and cold one with areas around Joplin topping out at 21. Areas northwest of Joplin will be in the upper teens to near 20 while areas to the south will try to climb into the lower to middle 20s. Again, some random flurries will be possible. Otherwise, the flurries won’t amount to a big deal at all.

Friday stays cold, but we’ll stay dry under mostly cloudy skies. For Saturday, we’ll have an upper low pass to our southwest. It wants to pass close enough to bring some scattered snow showers for our corners of Kansas and Oklahoma. Otherwise, we could see some partly sunny skies for the rest of the day with highs in the upper teens.

The focus will then turn to the low coming out of the Pacific. For Sunday, it will start to dig into the Desert Southwest and the Southern Rockies. Ahead of it, we’ll see snow chances ramp up across New Mexico and Texas. The snow chances will also increase throughout the day here as this system kicks into gear. The cloudy skies and increasing snow chances will keep lows around 6 for Valentine’s Day and highs around 14.

For Monday, the snow wants to overtake more of the area as the upper low wants to track into the Texas Panhandle and into western Oklahoma. This will also keep us in the clouds with temperatures starting around -3 in the morning and topping out around 8 for the afternoon.

We had to field some questions the other day regarding some internet posts about how much snow was on the way with Sunday and Monday’s system. One thing that we know for sure at this stage in the game are that we know accumulating snow chances are forecast for these two days. Since this system is still out in the Pacific and it’s 4 days away from impacting our weather, a lot can change between now and the time the snow chances start picking up on Sunday. Once this system works closer to land and certainly when it works onshore, we’ll have a much better idea of how it will track and how much snow could be on the way. As long as you keep checking back here for the latest forecast, you’ll know what to expect.

Once that system clears out late Monday night, we’ll have a quiet Tuesday with partly sunny skies. If we get any sort of accumulating snow from Sunday and Monday’s system with the Arctic air in place, we’ll see lows drop as cold as -9 and highs only topping out around 10. You have to go back to January 2014 to that cold spell where we had lows drop to -9 across the region. After Tuesday, we’ll watch for another chance for snow with a quick wave late Tuesday night and into Wednesday as we stay quite cold.

Stickling with Doug’s pattern, we’re still set to see temperatures trend back near or above freezing by late next week while we keep an eye on some more systems wanting to head our way. Doug has a look at the rest of the month and a good look at March with his long range forecast down below. Have a great Thursday!

Nick

February 18th-20th:  Temperatures will continue to moderate as we toward the weekend. We will see slight chances for rain or snow on Thursday, but better chances by Saturday.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.

Good early Wednesday morning, everyone. Like clockwork lately, we have yet another wave with wintry weather chances working in once again. At least we got the chance to catch a breather yesterday while we stayed under the clouds. No surprise, then, that the clouds kept temperatures from moving very much the other day. After we saw lows drop to about 13 at Joplin Regional Tuesday morning, we only saw highs climb back to 21 in the afternoon before we settled around 20 for much of the day.

While it was nice to get a break from the freezing drizzle we saw on Sunday and Monday, we already jumped back into the action with freezing drizzle picking up during the evening. That was the start of our new round of winter weather advisories that kicked in yesterday evening. While some parts of the advisory in southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma may expire by the time we get the morning drive going, the advisories in southwest Missouri, Crawford County and Cherokee County won’t expire until 6 AM Thursday.

Looking at our weather setup, the surface setup hasn’t really changed at all since we last wrote. With a couple of fronts to our south keeping any resemblance of relatively milder air to our south along the Gulf Coast. High pressure centered over northern Iowa and southern Minnesota remains in control and is keeping us much colder than normal.

Upstairs, the big upper-level low north of Minneapolis remains in control. This strong low is keeping the jet stream well to our south. Despite that, we have one wave rotating around this low and working in this morning as we continue through the day ahead of us. While we’ll watch for another wave to rotate around this by Thursday, we note another low out in the Pacific that’ll play a role in our forecast by the weekend.

The areas of freezing drizzle that started picking up last evening will continue through the overnight and right to the start of our AM drive. For some areas north of Joplin, more moisture working in will allow some snow flurries or light snow to start mixing in. No matter what falls from the skies to start the day, everyone starts cold with lows in the teens.

Don’t expect temperatures to warm up very much as we continue throughout the day. While areas northwest of Joplin make due with highs in the upper teens and lower 20s, we’ll have the Joplin area top out around 23 with lower to middle 20s to the south. We’ll continue with periods of light freezing drizzle through the day mixing in with some light sleet and light snow at times.

As the wave begins to move on as we head into Wednesday evening and Thursday morning, we’ll see this activity lighten up and back down to some scattered flurries. We’ll stay cold once again with lows in the middle to upper teens north of I-44 and upper teens to lower 20s south of the interstate.

With this wave, we aren’t worried about any crazy amounts of precipitation adding up. If any snow tries to accumulate, it’ll be between a dusting and half an inch (even half an inch is being a bit generous). As far as ice goes, the freezing drizzle will range between a glaze and a tenth of an inch especially in the areas under winter weather advisories. While these aren’t amounts to bring about any power outage concerns, these amounts will make roads tricky once again for our Wednesday.

While we stay cold with highs in the middle 20s for Thursday, another fast wave will pass through on Thursday. While this will keep us cloudy once again, the moisture wants to split up between our far northern and far southern counties. As a result, we’ll only mention the chance for a few light sleet/snow showers for the day. We’ll keep an eye on this setup for any changes that may arise.

Friday looks like, thankfully, a quiet day with dry weather expected. That being said, we’ll stay mostly cloudy and cold with highs in the lower 20s as the weekend gets started. We better enjoy Friday in any way that we can because another wave will be ready to roll in on Saturday. With this wave working together with much colder air in place, we’ll be looking at snow chances on Saturday.

Once the wave clears out with some remaining snow showers for Saturday evening, we’ll stay dry for Sunday under mostly cloudy skies. While it’ll be nice to have a dry Sunday for this weekend, it won’t feel nice with lows around 1 and highs topping out in the lower to middle teens. Then, we’ll have another wave work in from the west as we head into our Monday. It still looks like we’ll have another shot for snow on our Presidents’ Day this time around.

Once we get past, Monday, we’ll head back to partly sunny skies on Tuesday. With that said, we’ll have to start with lows below zero before we see highs climb back into the lower 20s. Stickling with Doug’s pattern, we’re still set to see temperatures trend warmer by the middle of next week while we keep an eye on some more systems wanting to head our way. Doug has a look at the rest of the month and a good look at March with his long range forecast down below. Have a great Wednesday!

Nick

February 17th-20th:  We’ll start to see temperatures moderate as we proceed through the rest of the week. We will see slight chances for rain or snow on Thursday, but better chances by Saturday.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.

Good late Monday evening, everyone. The clouds, the cold and freezing drizzle that started off on Sunday continued into today. With this setup in place, it wasn’t a surprise to see temperatures struggling all day long. After we had midnight highs around 30 in Joplin, temperatures fell into the 20s for much of the day before Joplin Regional dropped into the teens by the early evening hours.

This setup kept winter weather advisories going through the evening with the last of them set to expire at midnight. That being said, a good number of the main roads are a bit tricky to navigate with the freezing drizzle on the surface with a good number of side roads still quite tricky. It’s worth saying once again that if you have to be on the road during the overnight and during the pre-dawn hours on Tuesday, be very careful and plan accordingly. The surface map below showed a stationary front that was parked across southern and central Missouri. That helped keep the freezing drizzle going throughout the day and into the evening. It’s all part of a bigger frontal system that’s keeping any milder or warmer air well to our south.

Upstairs, we have our main upper-level low around Winnipeg, Moosonee, and Minneapolis still in control. It may be well to our north, but it still wants to send multiple waves our way and colder temperatures our way down the road.

For our Tuesday, the winter weather advisories look to stay away during the day. However, we’ll still have some areas of freezing drizzle around as we stay cloudy and quite cold. While some of our far northern areas, Iola, Yates Center, Butler and Anderson could drop into the upper single digits by sunrise, most of us will start in the teens for Tuesday morning.

While some areas of freezing drizzle will be around to start the day and continue to bring road issues across parts of the area, we’ll lose the stationary front by late morning and into the afternoon. You get rid of any lift in the lower levels of the atmosphere, the freezing drizzle chances will taper off. We’ll take this temporary lull in the action as highs top out in the upper teens in our northern areas and into the lower to middle 20s across the rest of the area.

While we’ll plan on starting Tuesday evening out on a quiet note with cloudy skies in place, we’ll have freezing drizzle chances return during the overnight and into Wednesday morning. With a little moisture to work with and some colder air aloft in some spots trying to sneak in, we could see some pockets of light sleet try to mix in. Otherwise, we’ll stay cold for Wednesday morning with lows around 20 for Joplin, upper teens to the north and lower to middle 20s to our south.

If we can stay on track with a little more moisture and some colder air aloft to work with for Wednesday afternoon, we should see our chances for freezing drizzle mix in with some light sleet and possibly some light snow (especially in our northern counties) as we stay cold with highs in the middle 20s.

The uptick in moisture for Wednesday will be due to another upper-level wave that will rotate around the massive and strong upper low across the Canadian border. Once that clears out, we’ll finally see more colder air aloft and more moisture work in for sleet and snow chances on Thursday. It’ll still be a bit messy, but it gives us a break from the freezing rain/drizzle chances.

Friday looks like, thankfully, a quiet day with dry weather expected. That being said, we’ll stay mostly cloudy and cold with highs around 20 as the weekend gets started. We better enjoy Friday in any way that we can because another wave will be ready to roll in on Saturday. With this wave working together with much colder air in place, we’ll be looking at snow chances on Saturday.

Before the wave clears out by Sunday morning, we could start Sunday out with a few snow showers early. Otherwise, it’ll look like a nice day with partly sunny skies in the forecast. On the other hand, it won’t feel nice with lows wanting to drop back to -4 and highs only topping out around 10 for the afternoon. We’ll stay with temperatures dropping below zero for Monday morning and highs in the middle teens for that afternoon as we watch for another wave to bring in some scattered snow showers by Presidents’ Day.

Regarding next week, the latest observations I’m seeing are sticking with Doug’s pattern. We’ll have this Arctic air in place until we finally start warming back up properly by next Wednesday and Thursday. If you’re curious as to how we look for the rest of the month and heading into March, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesdy!

Nick

February 14th-20th:  A cold Valentine’s day for us with a storm system that could give us some snow on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool all week long with some moderation in temperatures as we work through the week.  We will see slight chances for rain or snow on Thursday, but better chances by Saturday.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.

Good early Sunday morning, everyone. Today’s the big day for all of you Chiefs fans. I’ll admit that I’m not a big football fan since St. Louis has been primarily a baseball/hockey town since I was born. However, (of course) I’m rooting for Mahomes and the Chiefs to pull off not just another win but back-to-back Super Bowl wins. That’s something I’ve never been able to say about my St. Louis Cardinals or my St. Louis Blues. If any Missouri team can pull off this feat, it’s the Chiefs. Meanwhile, we did have a cold front and an upper-level wave work through yesterday. The cold front lived up to its name as it took us from highs around 50 on Friday to lower 40s in Joplin late Saturday morning before temperatures started to drop during the afternoon.

With the upper-level wave, it helped pull in some moisture and brought us some rain showers for areas where it was warm enough late Saturday morning and some light snow showers for areas north of I-44 and Joplin where temperatures were already cold enough. Once we saw everyone turn colder in the afternoon, moisture on the backside of the system allowed an additional area of light to sometimes moderate snow to fill in for parts of Kansas and Missouri. As expected, any accumulations stayed minor before the system moved on out Saturday evening. Looking at the weather setup at the surface below, our front continues to sink well to our south while high pressure continues to build in and keep a northeast wind in place as we start the day.

Upstairs, the upper-level wave has already pushed off to the east and pushing our rounds of rain and snow well into the Ohio River Valley. The focus will now shift to the strong upper-level low centered north of Minneapolis. This will be a big player in our weather for the coming week with a number of waves to watch and some Arctic air to come late in the week.

For today, plan on it being a cold day and a mostly cloudy day. While we stay dry to start the day out, the northeast wind at 5-15 (gusts near 25 in spots at times) means we’ll start in the middle to upper teens across the region.

Throughout the day, we’ll stay mainly dry under mostly cloudy skies. Even with the clouds in play, a southeast breeze at noon and a southerly breeze for the rest of the afternoon should be just enough to send highs around the Joplin area near 34. While areas close to Joplin and I-44 south could sneak into the lower to middle 30s today, our northern areas will fare a bit colder with highs between 24 and 30. Even though the Future Track is showing a few possible snow echoes for a few spots in the area by this afternoon, I’m not going to rule out a stray, light snow shower or some snow flurries for the afternoon.

It’s nice to know that the Chiefs won’t have to play in the cold. While we stay cold and cloudy up here, the Chiefs are still set to take on Tampa Bay with much warmer temperatures at Raymond James Stadium. While the game could start with some light showers around, much of the game should be mainly dry under cloudy skies.

Back here, the reason for a few flurries or a quick, light snow shower will be due to another quick wave that will pass mainly to our north. While that keeps any good snow chances north of us across northeast Kansas, northern Missouri and central Missouri, we won’t rule out a few flurries or a random, light snow shower somewhere in our region.

I’m seeing the next best shot for rain and snow holding off until Monday. While some questions do remain about how temperatures will fare across the area and where the rain and snow will set up, any expected accumulations of rain and snow still look fairly light. Due to the limited moisture and this wave not looking too strong, I expect any snow potential to be low with any amounts staying under an inch. It’s something we’ll still keep an eye on as this is one of quite a number of waves we’ll watch work around that potent upper low to our north.

For late Tuesday and early Wednesday, we have the potential to see another fast wave work into the region with a mix of rain, sleet and snow looking like the preferred precipitation modes at this time. Like the wave on Monday, we’ll keep the chances at 30% and keep any potential accumulations with that on the light side. Like Monday’s wave, we’ll also keep an eye on that as well.

After we spend most of Wednesday morning and Wednesday afternoon on a quiet and cold note, we’ll watch for another wave to rotate around the low to the north and head our way. This looks like another chance for wintry weather (either snow or a snow/sleet mix) that we’ll keep an eye on.

As we get next weekend underway, it looks like we’ll stay quiet to start things off. While we stay mostly cloudy for Friday and turn partly sunny for Saturday, just look at the upper low to our north. Even though it wants to work into northern parts of Minnesota, this low wants to bring in some Arctic air that’s breaking away from the Polar Vortex closer to the Arctic Circle. With some of the Arctic air working in ,we’ll have lows in the single digits (around 8 for Friday and around 3 for Saturday) and highs only topping out near 20 for Friday and Saturday.

If you’re curious to see how long this wave of Arctic air wants to stick around and see the other storm systems lining up over the next several weeks, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.

Have a great Sunday and… Let’s Go, Chiefs!!

Nick

February 14th-20th:  A cold Valentine’s day for us with a storm system that could give us some snow on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool all week long with some moderation in temperatures as we work through the week.  We will see slight chances for rain or snow on Thursday, but better chances by Saturday.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.

Good Saturday morning!  We made it to Super Bowl weekend!  I am a life long diehard Chiefs fan.  I grew up going to the games as a small kid in the 80s, and 90s.  I have watched every minute of every Chiefs game since I would say about 1990.  I have watched every second of the 2-14 years.  I am so thrilled to be back in a second one (like it I had anything to do with it)!  I am going to enjoy the ride.  Win or lose, I am going to enjoy it.  I do think the Chiefs will win in overtime and Butker hits a big field goal to win it.  Yes I know he has missed a few this year.  Okay, on to the weather.  We have a storm system today we need to watch.

Rain will start to increase as we go into the late morning hours.

Temperatures will warm into the upper 30s to near 40 degrees.  Most of us will start as rain after 10 AM.  Now, our northern counties will start as snow and mainly be snow through the entire event.  Lets move into the early afternoon.

By early afternoon, we will still have temps near 40, but snow will start to take over the patch of moisture.  It will be a very wet big flake snow but temperatures will be warm.  So a lot of this will melt on impact.  As we get into mid and later afternoon, I expect most of this to turn to wet snow.

Are temperatures will quickly drop through the 30s and eventually the 20s by the time the sun sets.  I still don’t expect huge issues because most of the snow will fall when we are above freezing.  However, it could come down at a pretty good clip.  So I do think we will see some accumulations.  Our northern counties have the best shot at seeing 1-3″ of snow.  However,  most of us will be in the dusting to 1″ range.  If we would change over a little quicker, we would be a little higher.  But I think that dusting to 1″ range looks pretty solid at this point.

A lot of clouds stick around for Super Bowl Sunday, but we will stay dry.  We are right on the verge of getting the first arctic blast of the season.  Now we are in cycle 4 of this years Heady Pattern, but we haven’t been able to get arctic air at this stage in each cycle until what looks to be now!  Let me show you what I am looking at.  This is an upper level map of what is going on right now.

You can see the massive upper level low just north of the Great Lakes.  This is a classic true polar vortex.  This bottles up the arctic and as it rotates, it rotates the arctic air in south into the lower 48.  Also notice how the Jet Stream has really cranked up.  This is going to give us several little waves over the next 12 days or so.  We will have chances for some additional wintry weather.  Check out my long range forecast below.

-Doug

Next Week:  As you can see above, we do have a wave late Monday and into Tuesday.  These are weak waves, but it will be cold.  So, some wintry weather of sleet and snow, should be light but also watched.  A little stronger wave pushes in on Thursday.  This will also give us snow chances.  The cold arctic air sticks into the weekend.

February 14th-20th:  A cold Valentine’s day for us with a storm system that could give us some snow on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool all week long with some moderation in temperatures as we work through the week.  We will see slight chances for rain or snow on Thursday, but better chances by Saturday.

February 21st-27th: We’re looking at cool temperatures for the first part of the week. We’ll turn briefly colder for Thursday before we turn cool for Friday and mild for Saturday. Rain chances will be around on Sunday before another system sneaks in by the middle of the week. That will give us slight snow chances Tuesday, slight rain and snow chances Wednesday and slight snow chances for Thursday.

February 28th-March 6th: Sunday looks mild before we turn cooler on Monday and cold for Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief mild spell for Thursday and Friday before we cool back down on Saturday. A system early in the week will have rain chances for Sunday and Monday. We’ll watch for slight rain and snow chances on Wednesday and slight rain chances on Friday.

March 7th-13th:  A cool start to the week with some showers on Sunday and Monday.  Warming up the second half of the week with rain on Thursday and Friday.

March 14th-20th:  Rain or snow chances on Sunday.  Cool on Sunday and Monday with mild temperatures the rest of the week.  Rain chances back in on Wednesday.