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Latest updated blog – Staying warm & dry for Wednesday – Nick

Good late Tuesday evening, everyone. Normally at this point in the month of June, we have to practically beg for Mother Nature to give us a nice, warm and beautiful day. After dealing with a hot and humid week last week, we were thankful that the cold front came on through and gave us a break from the heat and humidity. For our Tuesday, we had quite a chilly start with lows around 53°. That actually tied the record low set back in 1992. With low humidity and plenty of sun throughout the day, we were able to easily bounce back into the middle 80s this afternoon.

Looking at our weather setup, we have a bit of an interesting look at the surface. With high pressure off to our east, that’s what allowed our light southerly breeze to return today. To our immediate north, there’s a weak stationary front that served to fire up some strong to severe t-storms up in Nebraska and Iowa. Those t-storms will not play a role in our forecast. I’m watching the warm front to our southwest for the next few days. As it works closer tomorrow and through the region for Thursday and Friday, that will continue to warm temperatures up. To the north in Canada, we’re watching our next cold front that will bring in better rain chances for the coming weekend.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, we still find ourselves on the milder side of the jet. However, the upper-level ridge will try to build back in over the next few days. That will also aid temperatures in warming up some more as we head toward the start of the weekend.

For the overnight and Wednesday morning, we will continue to cool down a bit. While it won’t be as chilly as it was this morning, a light south breeze and mostly clear skies will let temperatures drop back into the lower 60s to start the AM drive out.

With partly to mostly sunny skies and a south wind at 10-20 mph heading into the afternoon, we’ll continue our warming trend across the area. Most spots will top out in the middle 80s for Wednesday afternoon with a slight bump in the humidity. It will still be a pretty good day, overall, for any outdoor plans.

Around the edge of the returning ridge, indications want to show a cluster of t-storms wanting to come out of western Nebraska and northwestern Kansas during the overnight hours and heading into Thursday morning. While that is something we’ll keep an eye on to see if it can hold together and head our way, we’ll throw in the chance for a few of those t-storms to come in by sunrise Thursday morning. Otherwise, it will be quite mild (if not a bit warm) with lows dropping into the middle 70s.

Thursday will definitely be a hot and humid day as highs will top out in the lower 90s for much of the area. Underneath partly sunny skies and ahead of the warm front that will be just to our west, that will try to fire off some isolated t-storms during the day.

For Friday, we’ll find ourselves just on the warmer side of the jet once again. While that keeps highs in the lower to middle 90s for Friday, an upper-level low will force the cold front out of Canada to come our way and start ramping up our t-storm chances for Friday afternoon.

Once that cold front starts working in on Friday, it won’t be in a big hurry to move along. With it planning to be on top of the area for Saturday and Sunday, those days will have the best chances for rain and t-storms before the front pushes off to our southeast on Monday. Even though we’ll have to put up with rain chances for the weekend, that will send highs for Saturday and Sunday back into the lower to middle 80s.

While the next cold front doesn’t look like it’ll bring any severe weather our way, there’s a chance for some heavy rainfall to work through. The earliest projections we have show this front could push projected rain amounts by next Monday morning anywhere between an inch and three inches. This is something else we’ll have to keep an eye on over the next several days.

While the front will move away from the region for Monday and Tuesday, we won’t rule out a stray shower for Monday afternoon and some scattered t-storms for Tuesday. With the upper-levels showing us on the milder side of the jet for early next week, we’ll have highs as a result stay in the middle 80s across the area.

Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through the middle of July down below. Have a good night and a great Wednesday!

Nick

June 30th-July 3rd:  Staying warm before we heat back up by the holiday weekend.  We’ll watch for t-storm chances to return by Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.

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Latest updated blog – Staying nice and warm for Tuesday – Nick

Good late Monday evening, everyone. Today brought quite a change after our hot and humid weekend wrapped up the other day. Thanks to our cold front that passed through as advertised, we had some scattered t-storms develop late last night and better chances work through this morning. Once the last of the rain chances cleared out this afternoon, we were able to enjoy a dry afternoon after the area saw about half an inch of rain on average. Needless to say, areas that saw heavier pockets of rain had rain amounts push almost up to 2 inches before the rain chances moved on.

In addition to it bringing rain and t-storm chances our way, the cold front certainly lived up to its name. After we saw highs in the lower to middle 90s on Sunday, our temperature journey throughout today turned out to be a bit of an interesting one. We started the day with midnight highs around 82°. Once the front and the t-storm chances worked into Joplin, temperatures dropped to 63° by 7 AM. Once the rain chances cleared out, the mostly sunny skies started arriving a bit sooner than expected. That’s why we had afternoon temperatures in Joplin bounce back into the middle 70s.

Looking at our weather setup, it’s looking good for the overnight and for our Tuesday. At the surface, our cold front continues its march to the east and southeast. Along and ahead of the front, showers and t-storms will continue to move along from New England down to the Gulf Coast. Behind the front, we have a little area of high pressure keeping our skies quiet for tonight and Tuesday.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, we have a setup that seems pretty hard to come by this late in the month of June. After spending last week under the upper-level ridge, it has been forced back near the Mexican border around Arizona and New Mexico. With no other systems immediately on the way and us on the cooler side of the jet, we’re looking at a pretty great Tuesday.

With dry air behind the cold front working together with mostly clear skies and a light breeze, it will be a chilly start for our Tuesday morning. It wouldn’t hurt to have a light jacket handy before you head out the door as lows will drop back into the lower to middle 50s. It’s also worth noting that the record low for Joplin on Tuesday is 53°. While Joplin may come close to matching the record, some outlying areas could see temperatures drop as low as 51° before we hit sunrise.

Those same conditions will lead to a quick warm up throughout the morning and into Tuesday afternoon. We’ll quickly climb into the lower 70s by 10 AM before we hit the middle 70s by the noon hour. Even though it will be a warm afternoon with most spots topping out around 81°, the low dew points and low humidity will make it feel nice for any outdoor plans.

Looking ahead to Wednesday, the upper-level ridge will start to slide back into the Southern Plains over the state of Texas. For us, we’ll stay on the milder side of the jet with partly sunny skies across the area. That will take us from lows around 60° Wednesday morning to highs back in the middle 80s for Wednesday afternoon.

The ridge strengthens just enough to sneak back in here and push highs back in the lower 90s for Thursday and Friday. While we can’t rule out a few isolated t-storms for Thursday afternoon, we’ll watch for a stronger storm system start to work in on Friday. An upper-level low coming out of the Dakotas will force another frontal system our way as we head through the weekend. That’s when mostly cloudy skies and better chances for scattered t-storms will work in.

The jet stream setup you see below for Sunday shows how our weather will fare as we go through both Saturday and Sunday. This upper-level low will keep the frontal system around for both days and keep t-storm chances in the forecast. This will serve to bring temperatures back down into the middle 80s for Saturday and Sunday afternoon.

Sticking with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have some scattered t-storm chances stick with us for Monday. However, the 80s will stick with us as well as a new work week gets going. Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through the middle of July down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

June 29th-July 3rd:  A warm start to the week but then just hot and humid.  We’ll watch for t-storm chance to return by Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.

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Latest updated blog – Rain on the way & cooling down for Monday – Nick

Good early Monday morning, everyone. We kept things on the dry side for this past weekend. However, it certainly felt like summer with highs ranging between the lower to middle 90s throughout the course of the weekend. While the southerly breeze helped us out by dropping highs to about 90° on Saturday, we went back into the lower to middle 90s Sunday afternoon after a mild start in the lower 70s.

Fortunately, the weather setup continues to signal a much-needed break from the summer heat as we get the new work week started. Not only do we have one cold front on the way, another cold front will follow right behind it from the north. The first cold front is serving to ramp up our rain and t-storm chances for our Monday. While the second front itself may not properly pass through here late in the afternoon, high pressure building in behind that front will make sure we see a cool down through the middle of the week.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, it’s also nice to see a proper change take place. The upper-level ridge that was in control last week has been forced back into the Desert Southwest. Not only has that allowed the jet stream to work back on top of the area, that also will allow the upper levels and the upper low to send our next 2 cold fronts our way.

We’ll notice the change in temperatures right away as we head out the door this morning. While we did see midnight highs in the lower 80s, the first front coming through will keep scattered rain and t-storms in the forecast as we get the AM drive started. Plus, it will drop temperatures back into the upper 60s across much of the area.

Even though the first cold front will be out of the area before the afternoon begins, we’ll hold on to mostly cloudy skies and periods of scattered rain and t-storms throughout the morning. While nothing severe is expected, anything strong will mainly result in moderate to heavy rainfall. The second cold front will graze us just to the northeast, but the northerly breeze kicking in will mean temperatures in the middle 60s for the start of the afternoon.

With our rain chances starting to clear out by late afternoon and with some spots set to see partly to mostly sunny skies return, that will allow some areas northwest of Joplin to see temperatures back in the lower 70s for the late afternoon. Other areas underneath a little more stubborn cloud cover will have to make due with temperatures in the middle to upper 60s before the afternoon is all said and done.

In terms of what our rain chances will leave behind, we aren’t expecting tremendous amounts of rain. On the average, much of the area will receive between a quarter to three quarters of an inch of rainfall before we completely dry out by the start of this evening. Any heavier pockets of rain that can develop and pass through could push a few spots near an inch of rainfall before the rain chances clear out.

While the day may start out not so nice, the evening will be mostly clear and dry. With those conditions and a light breeze starting to come back out of the south, this will actually lead to a chilly night and start to our Tuesday morning. Plan on lows dropping into the lower 50s for our Tuesday morning.

With mostly sunny skies and a light southeast breeze throughout our Tuesday, it will be a really nice day with highs topping out in the upper 70s to near 80° across the region.

Heading into Wednesday, we’ll still find ourselves just on the milder side of the upper-level ridge as it tries to build back in. With partly sunny skies and dry weather expected for Wednesday, though, we’ll stay nice and warm with highs in the lower to middle 80s.

The ridge may briefly gain back control on Thursday with highs back near 90° under partly sunny skies and a slight chance for a few isolated t-storms. However, another system and another couple of upper-level disturbances will push the ridge back to the southwest. We’ll have this result in mostly cloudy skies and scattered t-storms for Friday as highs drop back into the upper 80s.

While we do have to hold on to chances for scattered rain and t-storms for the rest of the weekend ahead of us, some dry time mixed in will make sure that temperatures turn out fairly nice. With us looking to work back on the milder side of the jet stream for Saturday and Sunday, we’ll have that result in highs in the middle 80s for both of those days.

Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through the middle of July down below. Have a great Monday!

Nick

June 28th-July 3rd:  A warm start to the week but then just hot and humid.  Thunderstorms for Monday, then again Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.

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Latest updated blog – Hot & humid again for Sunday – Nick

Good early Sunday morning, everyone. While we kept the heat in place across the area on our Saturday, we did trend a touch cooler compared to the lower to middle 90s we had back on Friday. We did start in the middle 70s for our Saturday morning. Even though we had mostly sunny skies throughout the day, we had a south wind in place throughout the day to mix up the incoming rays from the sun. While that did keep temperatures down a few degrees, it was still hot for Saturday afternoon with highs around 90°.

Looking at our weather setup, we are certainly happy to see a change in our weather setup on the way. At the surface, we find ourselves on the hot side of the warm front that’s parked to our north. That has kept any t-storms out in western/northern Kansas and around the St. Louis area away from us and staying along the front. We do note that the stationary front stretching from Wyoming into Nevada and California is the next front that will work in as a cold front as we wrap up our Sunday and head into Monday.

We’ll see that front come our way thanks to a big change in our jet stream setup. With the upper-level ridge being shoved back into New Mexico, we’re starting to see the jet stream return to the area. The upper-level low working across the Dakotas and another wave coming out of western Canada will both work together to bring the next front our way.

Before the front can do anything for us, we’ll keep quiet to start this morning out. With mostly clear skies for most of us and a light south breeze at 5-10 mph, we’ll have lows drop into the lower 70s.

Even with partly to mostly sunny skies throughout the day, we’ll stay hot once again as our next cold front continues to work into western and central parts of Kansas. Even with a south wind at 10-20 mph, we will see a high of 93° for Joplin today while outlying areas will see highs in the lower to middle 90s before the afternoon is all said and done.

Once we get into Sunday evening, that’s when we’ll start to focus on the cold front working into our far northwestern counties. Ahead of the front, we’ll have scattered t-storms develop and work to the east and southeast. While we won’t expect anything severe, these t-storms could certainly be a bit on the strong side as they start to work through.

Not only will the front start to bring better chances for scattered rain and t-storms for late Sunday evening and into our Monday, it will start to give us a break from the heat. Note the temperatures by midnight on Monday. These will be early morning highs around 80° for our entire Monday.

As the first cold front works in with scattered t-storms for Monday morning, that will bring temperatures down into the lower 70s by 10 AM. Behind that, another cold front will still have plenty of instability and warmth to work with and keep scattered t-storms in the forecast for Monday afternoon. This will keep temperatures between the middle 60s and lower 70s for that afternoon.

Behind both cold fronts, we’ll see skies turning mostly clear throughout Monday evening and certainly for Tuesday morning. After several mornings with lows ranging between the lower and middle 70s, lows in the lower 50s for Tuesday morning are starting to sound really nice.

With a light breeze and mostly sunny skies for Tuesday, we’ll keep temperatures below normal as highs will only top out in the upper 70s across the region.

While the upper-level ridge tries to build back in on Wednesday, we’ll stay dry and warm with partly sunny skies in place. This will keep highs in the middle 80s across the region.

By the time we hit Thursday, the jet stream starts to work back on top of the area. While that will send highs back near 90°, we’ll have a weak wave ride along the jet and work together with a frontal boundary passing through. That will allow for some scattered t-storms for Thursday afternoon.

As we approach next weekend, another cold front will work in from the north. With that wanting to come into play and the upper levels wanting to send the ridge back to the west, the t-storm chances for Friday with highs in the lower 90s will lead to a warm Saturday with highs in the middle 80s.

Doug has you covered with his long range forecast out through the middle of July down below. Have a great Sunday, Father’s Day and first day of summer!

Nick

Next Friday and Saturday:  Heating back up!  Some scattered thunderstorms on both days.

June 27th-July 3rd:  A warm start to the week but then just hot and humid.  Thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday, then again Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.

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Latest updated blog: Still hot, but relief around the corner. -Doug

Good Thursday night/Friday morning!  I hope you have had a fantastic week.  We are rolling right through and almost Fathers Day weekend.  I have been in town since last Friday’s storms and head back to Seattle for the last week of treatment on Saturday.  I am looking forward to getting out of this heat.  People start freaking in Seattle when it hits 80 degrees, lol.  I am like, come on!!!!   Anyways, you guys have to deal with it for three more days, then some relief.  Overall, it will be a hot humid summer, but we will have our breaks.  We are in the final stages of this current Heady Pattern and just 3 months away from the new one to form.

Hot and humid once again on Friday, carbon copy.  Plus the heat indices will be up there again.

Much of the same on Saturday.  Hot humid, mid 90s with heat index around 102-105.  Oh and Sunday.  But we do have some changes.  First off the tropics.

 

Looks like we have a tropical storm developing in the Gulf.  Now this will stay in the SE US, but it does start to open up the Gulf for us to get some moisture that combines with our upper level high breaking down.

Here is your wonderful heat source.  That upper High is giving us hot, humid and mainly dry conditions.  When it breaks down, we can get some cold fronts in here and moisture.  Look at the Jet getting stronger in the northern Plains.  This is the beginnings of the High breaking down.  Now we still have 3 more hot days, then the changes.  A cold front slides in late evening on Sunday.  Fathers Day again hot and humid but some scattered thunderstorms Sunday night and Monday morning.

Now some of these could pack a punch and be strong to severe with wind and hail.  We will keep our eyes on those the next couple of days.  However, cooler temperatures work in for about 3 days before we warm back up late next week.  Check out my long range forecast below.

-Doug

Next Friday and Saturday:  Heating back up!  Some scattered thunderstorms on both days.

June 27th-July 3rd:  A warm start to the week but then just hot and humid.  Thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday, then again Thursday into the holiday weekend.

July 4th-10th:  A hot and humid week with thunderstorm chances on the 4th and 5th, then again late in the week and into the weekend.

July 11th- 17th:  A little cooler to start the week with scattered thunderstorms on Sunday.  A hot middle and then warm end to the week.  Thunderstorms back in the weekend of the 17th.

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Latest updated blog – Hot & humid stretch continues – Nick

Good Wednesday evening, everyone. It was the same story for yet another day across the area. Once we get past a mild morning to start things off, we wasted no time going back into the heat. We did it yesterday with lows in the middle 60s and highs in the middle 90s. For today, we started out in the lower 70s before we jumped back into the middle 90s this afternoon. While the dew points weren’t too terribly high, dew points between the middle 60s and lower 70s today made it fee like the upper 90s to near 100° during the afternoon.

Looking at our weather setup, we still don’t have any immediate systems at the surface on the way. All we see is a frontal system to our east working into the Atlantic and a frontal system to our north. While the front to our north has fired up a complex of t-storms in Iowa earlier this evening, they’re on a journey that will take them mainly to our east as they work into Missouri overnight.

Upstairs, our weather is still under the control of an upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners out to our west. This is the same upper-level ridge that’s keeping us hot and mainly dry. While we can occasionally get a random t-storm or two to pop up in a setup like this, this setup is primarily keeping any big systems around the ridge and away from us. Every now and again, though, a weak wave will want to ride around the edge of the ridge and try to change things up a little bit.

That seems to be the case for our Thursday. While the t-storms coming out of Iowa will mainly stay in northern and central Missouri, we can’t rule out a stray shower or t-storm trying to clip our far eastern counties as we get the morning going. Otherwise, it will be mild and a bit muggy with lows dropping back into the lower 70s.

Heading into the afternoon, we’re expecting mostly sunny skies for much of the area. With a weak wave still passing by, we won’t rule out a stray shower or t-storm during the afternoon. Still, it won’t change the fact that we’ll be hot and humid once again. Even with a light southwest breeze at 5-10 mph, we’ll see highs push back into the middle 90s around Joplin and even into the upper 90s in our western areas.

With the humidity in play once again for Thursday, it will feel a bit hotter than what the thermometer will say during the afternoon. It could actually feel like 100° or in the lower triple digits as we get into the heart of the afternoon.

No big changes are expected for Friday. While highs will stay in the middle to upper 90s for the afternoon under partly to mostly sunny skies, it could feel as hot as 100° to 104° in many locations in the middle of our Friday afternoon.

While we stay hot and partly sunny for Saturday with highs in the middle 90s, we are keeping an eye on our next storm system by Father’s Day. While we stay ahead of the front for another hot Sunday with highs in the lower to middle 90s, the incoming cold front will start to fire off some scattered t-storms late in the afternoon and certainly for Sunday evening.

For Monday, the cold front will force its way through the region. That will mean partly sunny skies for Monday with some periods of scattered rain and t-storms. While we aren’t expecting anything strong or severe, the front will be strong enough to start giving us a break from the heat. This front will drop us into the upper 70s for highs on Monday. We’ll dry out for Tuesday and Wednesday as we’ll enjoy highs in the lower to middle 80s.

Doug has you covered with the long range forecast for the next few weeks down below. Have a good night and a great Thursday!

Nick

June 24th-26th:  We’ll watch for scattered thunderstorms from Thursday through Saturday.  Thursday will be warm before we head back into the heat for the weekend.

June 27th-July 3rd:  Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures.  Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.

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Latest updated blog – Staying hot for Wednesday – Nick

Good Tuesday evening, everyone. Summer doesn’t start until Sunday, but Mother Nature does what Mother Nature does. With the humidity not quite as high once again today, it didn’t feel like a true summer day. However, it was another day where a mild start turned into another hot afternoon. With mostly sunny skies in place, we went from lows in the middle 60s to highs in the middle 90s this afternoon. This afternoon was a bit hotter compared to our Monday as we started the work week out.

Looking at our weather setup, we just can’t get anything big going at the surface. While we do have a weak stationary front on top of the area, any better chances for rain and t-storms have stayed in upper New England and into the Florida Peninsula.

Upstairs, our weather is still under the control of an upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners out to our west. This is the same upper-level ridge that’s keeping us hot and mainly dry. While we can occasionally get a random t-storm or two to pop up in a setup like this, this setup is primarily keeping any big systems around the ridge and away from us.

For our Wednesday, though, a weak upper-level wave wants to sneak along the ridge and head our way. That could certainly spark a random shower or t-storm overnight and into early Wednesday morning. Otherwise, it will certainly be another mild start for us as lows will drop back into the upper 60s to near 70°.

As we go into the afternoon ahead of us, the upper-level ridge will keep us hot once again as highs will top out in the middle 90s across the area. However, the upper-level wave sneaking through will pick up on a little extra humidity and try to get a random shower or t-storm to develop in the afternoon. For most of us, Wednesday will be a dry day.

With that slight bump in the humidity and the bump of the thermometer, it will feel like the upper 90s across the area for Wednesday afternoon.

Thursday is looking like more of the same for us. With partly to mostly sunny skies and another weak wave trying to sneak around the ridge, we can’t rule out a random shower or t-storm for Thursday afternoon. Otherwise, we’ll stay hot for Thursday with highs in the middle 90s for areas around Joplin and some outlying areas pushing into the upper 90s.

With that extra bump in temperatures for Thursday working with the humidity in place, temperatures will feel like we’ll be close to 100° during the peak heating of the afternoon.

It’s worth noting once again that we’ll continue to keep an eye on the jet stream and the upper-level ridge for the rest of the week. While it will keep us hot for Thursday, a weak wave will certainly try to slide by around the edge of the ridge and give us a slight chance for a random shower or t-storm in the afternoon.

Once we get into Saturday and Father’s Day, we’ll keep an eye on moisture coming up from the Gulf of Mexico due to a possible tropical system trying to develop. That will interact with a cold front that’ll come close by. While we stay hot with highs in the lower to middle 90s for both Saturday and Father’s Day, this setup will lead to an increase in our chances for showers and t-storms.

For Monday, we’ll see a stronger cold front and a change in our upper-level setup will work in. That will result in scattered t-storms for Monday morning before we dry out for the afternoon. Fortunately, the air behind the front and the changing upper-level setup showing the upper-level ridge breaking down means that we’ll get a break from the heat for early next week. We’ll have highs topping out around 80° for Monday and Tuesday of next week.

Doug has you covered with the long range forecast for the next few weeks down below. Have a good night and a great Wednesday!

Nick

June 23rd-26th:  We’ll watch for scattered thunderstorms from Wednesday through Saturday.  Temperatures will stay warm for much of the week before we start heating back up by the weekend.

June 27th-July 3rd:  Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures.  Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.

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Latest updated blog – Heat sticking with us this week – Nick

Good Monday evening, everyone. We kept things pretty quiet under partly to mostly sunny skies for today as the new work week got underway. While it looked nice, we did see temperatures heat up a little bit compared to Sunday. After seeing highs near 90° the other day, it was good to have lows drop back near 60° this morning. While the slightly drier air stayed in place and kept it from feeling any hotter than the actual air temperatures today, we did see highs climb back into the lower 90s this afternoon.

Looking at our weather setup, we don’t see any big systems coming into play. While the surface setup may show a stationary front to our south and a weak cold front to our north, this is a very weak front that isn’t bringing any cooler air our way soon or any decent rain chances.

Upstairs, our weather is still under the control of an upper-level ridge centered over the Colorado/New Mexico border. This is what will keep us hot for the rest of the week while any big storm systems mainly skirt around the ridge. Every now and again, a weak wave will come around the ridge near us and try to give us some isolated t-storm chances.

We don’t see any rain chances coming our way for Tuesday. With the ridge in control, we’ll start mild and mostly sunny in the morning with lows in the middle 60s across the area.

With the slightly drier air still in place, we’ll waste no time heating up once again throughout the day under mostly sunny skies and a light northeasterly breeze. After we start the afternoon out with temperatures in the middle 80s, we’ll have highs back in the lower 90s across much of the area.

With just a slight bump in the humidity for Tuesday, it may feel like the middle 90s across the area once we hit the middle of the afternoon.

For Wednesday through Friday, we’ll be watching out for a few weak waves that’ll try to ride around the edge of our ridge and head our way. That may bring a slight chance for a few isolated t-storms for this stretch. For the most part, most areas will stay dry as highs will climb back into the middle 90s. With the increase in the humidity, it will feel closer to 100° for each afternoon.

Once we get to Saturday and early next week, an upper-level wave working into the Great Lakes will start to bring a cold front our way. Couple that with more moisture from the Gulf of Mexico as a tropical system starts to brew, that combination will bring in the better chances for some scattered t-storms by Saturday and into early next week. When that change in the weather takes hold, we’ll try to cool down a little bit with highs in the lower 90s.

Doug has you covered with the long range forecast for the next few weeks down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

June 22nd-26th:  The heat returns early in the week with scattered thunderstorms from Tuesday through Saturday.  We will cool down a bit for the weekend.

June 27th-July 3rd:  Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures.  Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.

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Latest updated blog – Staying hot for much of this week – Nick

Good Sunday evening, everyone. It was nice to end the weekend on a quiet note all across the area after starting the weekend out with the complex of t-storms back on Friday afternoon and Friday evening. Behind Friday’s t-storms, we did see a slight drop in temperatures and a slight drop in the humidity for both Saturday and today. Even with some lower humidity in play, that allowed us to go from a mild Saturday morning to highs back around 90°. After upper 60s this morning, we had highs push back up into the upper 80s this afternoon at Joplin Regional. Outside Joplin, a few spots did hit 90° before the afternoon was all said and done.

Looking at our weather setup, we don’t see any systems at the surface having a direct impact on our weather. While we do have a front to the north and south of us, they’ll stay there to start the work week out and keep any good t-storm chances out of the picture. The stalled out front across the western US wants to come into play later on this week.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, the center of our upper-level ridge has shifted into New Mexico. Even with that, the ridge is strong enough to keep the core jet stream to our east. That’s also allowing any organized storm systems and better t-storm chances to stay away. That being said, we can still get a wave strong enough to ride along the edge of the ridge and try to bring a slim chance for a t-storm or two our way as the new week continues on.

For the rest of the night and into Monday morning, we’ll keep quiet under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies. With the drier air in place and a light easterly breeze, this will send lows into the lower 60s to start our Monday morning out.

While it will be a nice start to the day, the lower humidity means it won’t take much sun to heat things up. Once we get past sunrise, we’ll find ourselves in the middle to upper 80s by lunchtime and highs back in the lower 90s around Joplin. Outlying areas under partly to mostly sunny skies will have highs between the lower to middle 90s.

We’ll sail through Monday night and into Tuesday morning under mostly clear skies. Even with a slight bump in the humidity for Tuesday morning, we’ll keep things mild with lows back in the upper 60s across the area.

With a subtle wave trying to sneak along the edge of our ridge and wanting to interact with the slight bump in humidity, it wouldn’t be surprising if a random shower or t-storm could develop for Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, we’ll stay partly sunny and hot with highs in the lower 90s.

I don’t see any big changes for Wednesday. While an upper-level low in Upper New England wants to try and send the jet back in our direction, we’ll stay under the influence of the upper-level ridge out west. While that wants to keep highs in the lower 90s for Wednesday and Thursday, a wave wanting to ride along the jet could try to bring a few afternoon t-storms our way for Wednesday.

By Friday, the upper-level low that’ll work across the Canadian border will start to dive into the northern Great Lakes. That will start to push the front out west into our direction. With the upper-level ridge losing a bit of influence over us, this will allow for scattered t-storms to come back into the forecast as the weekend gets started. It will still be a bit hot with highs in the lower 90s.

As this frontal system edges closer and we lose the influence of the upper-level ridge, that will keep scattered t-storms in the forecast for Saturday and Father’s Day. I do expect some dry time for this weekend. Not only that, the shift in the jet should start to bring in a slight drop in temperatures. We’re expecting highs to drop back into the upper 80s by Saturday and on Sunday for Father’s Day.

Doug has you covered with the long range forecast for the next few weeks down below. Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

June 20th-26th:  The heat returns early in the week with scattered thunderstorms from Tuesday through Saturday.  We will cool down a bit for the weekend.

June 27th-July 3rd:  Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures.  Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.

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Latest updated blog: Heat continues but some relief in sight. -Doug

Good Saturday night or soon to be Sunday morning!  I hope your weekend has been great so far, and hopefully you are staying cool.  It was down right hot on Saturday.  Plus the humidity was up there, so we had heat indices around 100 degrees most of the day.  Some good news is that the humidity will be a little lower the next couple of days.  Instead of heat indices above 100, they will sit around 95.  I mean that is better, right?  Sunday is going to be pretty good one, but still heating up.  But at least the heat index will be a little lower.

It will feel a little hotter out there with the humidity.  I think most of us will have a heat index around 95-97 degrees.

But overall, there isn’t much going on with the weather.  We are still in the same Heady Pattern that we have been in for 9 months, but we are in the summer version of it.  What you see is what you get.  It is a pattern, so if you don’t like the heat and the humidity, you may want to move for about 3 months, lol.  Here is the set-up this week.

We have this huge upper level ridge out to our west.  This forces any bigger systems to go over the ridge and slight SE across the Great Lakes.  We just don’t get much action with these patterns.  We do get a few waves that rotate closely around the ridge and could give us a few scattered storms this week, but most of those will stay in central and western KS.  So overall, it is pretty boring until we can get the ridge to break down and get a cold front into the area.  We will see this most likely occurring later this week.  The ridge breaks down, our chances for showers and thunderstorms go up Thursday and Friday.

Good news here is we will cool down a bit for a couple day next weekend before the heat returns.  Check out the long range forecast below.

-Doug

 

 

June 20th-26th:  The heat returns early in the week with scattered thunderstorms from Tuesday through Saturday.  We will cool down a bit for the weekend.

June 27th-July 3rd:  Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures.  Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.