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Staying warm with additional rain chances Tuesday – Nick

Good Monday evening, everyone. Once again, we had to deal with rain and t-storms during the early morning hours. Thankfully, we didn’t see much in the way of severe weather. However, we just keep getting more rain that we don’t need. Ever since our rain chances kicked back into gear on Saturday, the rain totals have averaged out to 1.7″ across the area. Needless to say, some areas have picked up more than that. That’s certainly true for a good number of you across southeast Kansas and northeast Oklahoma.

After the rain cleared out, returning sunshine took us from the upper 60s this morning to afternoon highs in the lower 80s across the area. However, the overall weather setup hasn’t really changed. We still have a frontal boundary to the north of the area. Couple that with another disturbance upstairs, t-storms have developed once again across central and western Kansas this evening. The t-storm chances have also extended into parts of Nebraska, Colorado and the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

In some form or fashion, we’ll see the scattered t-storm chances come in from the west as we get into our early Tuesday morning. While no severe weather is expected, it’ll be additional rain chances to contend with under mostly cloudy skies. This will only let temperatures drop back into the upper 60s once again for the morning ahead.

While the morning rain chances will clear out with a dry lunch hour to salvage, mostly cloudy skies will turn partly sunny. That might allow any warmth, humidity and instability to trigger a couple of isolated t-storms late in the afternoon. Otherwise, the partly sunny skies with a southeast breeze will send temperatures into the lower to middle 80s for Tuesday afternoon.

After a mainly quiet start to our Tuesday evening, we’ll deal with another complex of t-storms for early Wednesday morning that will send lows back into the upper 60s. Current indications show that the t-storm chances for Wednesday could be strong to severe. We’ll continue to keep an eye on this setup.

With the rain chances lining up just within the next few days alone, additional rain amounts could range between a quarter of an inch to as highs as 4 inches in some spots. Needless to say, our ground is completely saturated. This will continue to keep flooding concerns up as we work through the middle of the week.

Once we do get past Wednesday morning’s rain chances, we’ll get highs back into the lower 80s under partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies. While it may be possible to pick up a few isolated t-storms on Thursday, most of us will actually stay dry with highs back in the middle 80s. Heading into the weekend, look at what the Future Track below wants to bring our way for Friday morning.

That will be another overnight complex of t-storms that will head in for our early Friday morning. We’ll keep an eye on that as that could be another chance for strong to severe t-storms. After it clears out, we’ll see partly sunny skies return for the afternoon to get highs back near 80 across the area. Thankfully, the rest of the weekend is looking dry thanks to an upper-level ridge trying to build across the Southwest.

This setup will keep us mostly sunny with highs in the upper 70s for Saturday and partly sunny for Sunday with highs in the middle 80s. Another disturbance wants to bring additional rain and t-storms chances late Sunday night and early Monday morning. Otherwise, we’ll continue our warming trend on Monday with highs pushing into the upper 80s. Don’t forget that Doug has your updated long-range forecast into early August down below. Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

June 14th-18th: Hot temperatures for Tuesday and Wednesday before warm temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Tuesday and Wednesday (possible severe threat for Wednesday) before better t-storm chances return Thursday.

June 19th-25th: Except for a warm Tuesday, mainly hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday. If any days showed a possible severe threat, it would be Monday and Thursday. Dry for Saturday.

June 26th-July 2nd:  Temperatures look hot for Sunday. After a warm stretch Monday through Wednesday, we’ll turn hot again for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday (with a severe threat) and slight t-storm chances for Monday and Tuesday. Returning slight t-storm chances for Friday and Saturday.

July 3rd-July 9th: Hot for Sunday before we stay warm for the 4th, Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances for Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday.

July 10th-July 16th: Hot temperatures this week. Slight t-storm chances Tuesday, Friday and Saturday.

July 17th-July 23rd: Warm for Sunday and Monday before hot temperatures return for the rest of the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday, Wednesday and Saturday.

July 24th-July 30th: With the exception of a warm Thursday and Friday, hot for the week. Slight t-storm chances Sunday through Wednesday.

July 31st-August 6th: Hot for much of the week before we back down to warm temperatures by Friday and Saturday. Slight t-storm chances Monday through Friday.

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