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Quiet & back above freezing for Monday – Nick

Good early Monday morning, everyone. It sure was nice to see our last storm system clear out the other day. In its wake, we did see rain kick things off with areas along the I-44 corridor seeing amounts range between a tenth of an inch and half an inch. Once you hop south of the Interstate, the rain amounts starting pushing up to an inch in some spots.

We started this storm system out with rain since temperatures were well into the 40s and 50s as we kicked off 2022. Then as temperatures dropped (as shown below), the rain switched to a mix of rain, freezing rain and sleet during Saturday morning and into early Saturday afternoon. That left areas around Joplin with some wet side roads that became slick and a glaze of freezing rain while areas northwest of Joplin saw a little more in the way of freezing rain and sleet. After the backside of the system brought some snow flurries and some quick and light snow showers Saturday night and to start Sunday morning out, we had the sun return during the afternoon. It didn’t quite warm us up very much, though. After lows dropped into the lower teens around Joplin, all we could do was jump back into the middle 20s the other day.

If you aren’t a fan of our first blast of wintry Arctic air, you’ll like how things are shaping up for the next few days. The surface setup shows the last cold front working across the eastern and southeastern parts of the United States. While we are keeping an eye on a Canadian cold front to our northwest, we have high pressure in control. Not only will both highs keep skies quiet for today, they will keep the south wind in place as they shift off to the east.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, the upper-level wave from the backside of the last storm system is working across the Tennessee Valley and continuing to move away from us. With no immediate upper-level waves to our west and the jet stream wanting to return from the southwest, this is setting us up for a good start to the first work/school week of 2022.

Even though the skies are clear and the south breeze is fairly light to start this morning out, it is keeping temperatures steady throughout the early morning. Much of the area will continue to hold fairly steady in the teens as we get ready to head back to work (and school for some) this morning.

Once we get past our cold start this morning, sunny skies and the south breeze will finally get us back above freezing today. We’ll see temperatures in the upper 30s by lunchtime and afternoon highs in the lower to middle 40s across the region.

Even with partly sunny skies set to return on Tuesday, we’ll keep dry and push highs back into the upper 40s across the area. By Wednesday, that front coming out of Canada will pass on through. While we’ll be dry under partly sunny skies with the passing front, it will force highs back into the upper 30s.

As we work into Thursday, we’ll actually have to keep an eye on a fast moving wave in the upper levels that will come in from the northwest. That wave will pick up just enough moisture to keep us mostly cloudy for Thursday. Plus, it will also bring in a chance for some scattered areas of snow during the morning hours. Even though we still have some time to watch this, early indications show that any snow chances that can accumulate would be minor in amounts (under an inch) since it will be moving through quickly. Snow or not, it will be a cold Thursday with highs only making it into the lower to middle 20s.

After Thursday’s wave clears out, we will be partly sunny and dry to start the upcoming weekend out on our Friday. However, it will still be cold as we go from morning lows in the middle teens to highs in the upper 30s. We will be back in the 40s and 50s for Saturday and Sunday. Even with that, you can see some activity eager to return by then below.

We’ll watch for another wave by Saturday and Sunday. Early indications show this wave wants to bring rain chances back into play for late Saturday afternoon, Saturday evening and early Sunday morning. With these waves on the board for the week, we’ll keep an eye on both of them as we continue through our first week of 2022. Doug has you covered with his long range forecast through the rest of the month down below.

Have a great Monday!

Nick

Jan. 10th-15th: Chilly for the first half of the week. Rain and snow chances Monday and Wednesday. Cold and dry for the rest of the week.

Jan. 16th-22nd: Mainly chilly for this week. Slight rain chances on Monday and Friday.

Jan. 23rd-30th:  Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday. This could mix with a little snow on Tuesday.  Then a chilly week with warmer temperatures by the weekend with rain chances.

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