Good Wednesday evening, everyone. It was the same story for yet another day across the area. Once we get past a mild morning to start things off, we wasted no time going back into the heat. We did it yesterday with lows in the middle 60s and highs in the middle 90s. For today, we started out in the lower 70s before we jumped back into the middle 90s this afternoon. While the dew points weren’t too terribly high, dew points between the middle 60s and lower 70s today made it fee like the upper 90s to near 100° during the afternoon.
Looking at our weather setup, we still don’t have any immediate systems at the surface on the way. All we see is a frontal system to our east working into the Atlantic and a frontal system to our north. While the front to our north has fired up a complex of t-storms in Iowa earlier this evening, they’re on a journey that will take them mainly to our east as they work into Missouri overnight.
Upstairs, our weather is still under the control of an upper-level ridge centered over the Four Corners out to our west. This is the same upper-level ridge that’s keeping us hot and mainly dry. While we can occasionally get a random t-storm or two to pop up in a setup like this, this setup is primarily keeping any big systems around the ridge and away from us. Every now and again, though, a weak wave will want to ride around the edge of the ridge and try to change things up a little bit.
That seems to be the case for our Thursday. While the t-storms coming out of Iowa will mainly stay in northern and central Missouri, we can’t rule out a stray shower or t-storm trying to clip our far eastern counties as we get the morning going. Otherwise, it will be mild and a bit muggy with lows dropping back into the lower 70s.
Heading into the afternoon, we’re expecting mostly sunny skies for much of the area. With a weak wave still passing by, we won’t rule out a stray shower or t-storm during the afternoon. Still, it won’t change the fact that we’ll be hot and humid once again. Even with a light southwest breeze at 5-10 mph, we’ll see highs push back into the middle 90s around Joplin and even into the upper 90s in our western areas.
With the humidity in play once again for Thursday, it will feel a bit hotter than what the thermometer will say during the afternoon. It could actually feel like 100° or in the lower triple digits as we get into the heart of the afternoon.
No big changes are expected for Friday. While highs will stay in the middle to upper 90s for the afternoon under partly to mostly sunny skies, it could feel as hot as 100° to 104° in many locations in the middle of our Friday afternoon.
While we stay hot and partly sunny for Saturday with highs in the middle 90s, we are keeping an eye on our next storm system by Father’s Day. While we stay ahead of the front for another hot Sunday with highs in the lower to middle 90s, the incoming cold front will start to fire off some scattered t-storms late in the afternoon and certainly for Sunday evening.
For Monday, the cold front will force its way through the region. That will mean partly sunny skies for Monday with some periods of scattered rain and t-storms. While we aren’t expecting anything strong or severe, the front will be strong enough to start giving us a break from the heat. This front will drop us into the upper 70s for highs on Monday. We’ll dry out for Tuesday and Wednesday as we’ll enjoy highs in the lower to middle 80s.
Doug has you covered with the long range forecast for the next few weeks down below. Have a good night and a great Thursday!
June 24th-26th: We’ll watch for scattered thunderstorms from Thursday through Saturday. Thursday will be warm before we head back into the heat for the weekend.
June 27th-July 3rd: Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures. Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.