Good early Monday morning, everyone. Hopefully, the weekend was a good one for you all. It certainly felt more like a June weekend around here with warm temperatures and the usual bout of random scattered showers & t-storms each afternoon. Despite the afternoon showers and t-storms for parts of the area, we kept warm to wrap up the weekend. After seeing highs in the lower 80s on Saturday, we went back into the lower 80s on Sunday after a mild start in the middle to upper 60s this morning.
Looking at our weather setup, the only feature at the surface playing a role is the area of high pressure out in the Carolinas. The clockwise flow is keeping our wind out of the south and keeping the warmth in place as we get the new work week started. The front to our northwest will stay to our northwest for much of the week.
Upstairs, we still have our weather being controlled by a low cut off from the jet stream. As it continues to sit on top of us for today and keep rain chances in the forecast, the jet stream staying well to our north will continue to keep things warm across the area.
While a stray shower or t-storm can’t be ruled out during our Monday morning, we’ll all start off on a mild note with lows in the middle 60s and a light south breeze at 5-10 mph.
Once we get highs back near 80° for the afternoon, the warmth will interact with the building moisture throughout the day. That will result in scattered rain and t-storms for the afternoon underneath partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies. Like the past few days, any storms will stay below severe levels. However, they could bring moderate to heavy rainfall for some spots.
Once the sun goes down and we lose the heating of the day, the t-storm chances will taper off before the overnight hours begin. With skies staying mostly cloudy for Monday night and Tuesday morning, that will only allow lows to drop back into the upper 60s.
Once we get into Tuesday afternoon, it’ll be the same story once again. Highs in the lower 80s will interact with the upper-level low and the moisture in place for another afternoon of random scattered showers & t-storms.
Beyond Tuesday, the upper-level low will finally get carried away by the jet stream and start pulling it off to our east. However, with any waves riding around our building ridge of high pressure, we’ll hold on to the chance for afternoon scattered t-storms on Wednesday as highs climb back into the middle 80s.
While some scattered afternoon t-storms remain possible for Thursday, we’ll really start to warm up with the upper-level high wanting more control of our weather setup. We’ll see highs in the upper 80s for Thursday afternoon before highs start to push near 90° on Friday. While Friday is looking mainly dry, we can’t rule out a few isolated t-storms Friday afternoon as another wave rides around the ridge.
The upcoming weekend looks mainly dry with temperatures flirting with some late spring/early summer heat. Aside from a few afternoon showers on Saturday, we’ll have partly to mostly sunny skies for Saturday and Sunday. As for temperatures, we’ll be in the upper 80s Saturday and possibly into the lower 90s on Sunday.
Doug has his long range forecast out just before the Fourth of July down below. Have a great Monday!
June 13th-19th: A little cooler with mild temperatures to start the week. Warm temperatures return by the middle of the weekend and into the weekend. Also, a few thunderstorms to start the week on Sunday. Additional thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday.
June 20th-26th: A hot first half of the week with temperatures dropping back to warm the second half of the week. Warm would be 80s, hot is above 90 degrees. Scattered thunderstorms back around the second half of the week.
June 27th-July 3rd: Heating up this week with mainly hot temperatures. Scattered thunderstorms as we work into the holiday weekend.