Latest updated blog – Staying dry & mild for Saturday – Nick

Good Friday evening, everyone. After all our rain chances for the past several days and especially after yesterday’s system that brought heavy rain and flash flooding to parts of the area, it was good to enjoy a completely dry day with the returning sunshine. However, it felt chilly for this late in the month of May. After we had highs near 80° at Joplin Regional Airport before the rain kicked into gear yesterday, we saw temperatures start in the upper 50s this morning and highs in the middle 60s today. Instead of lower 80s for this time of the year, it felt more like an early April day as our weekend got started.

Looking at our weather setup, the front that gave us the strong to severe t-storms is to our south. Behind it, high pressure centered over Wisconsin is keeping us cooler than normal as we head into our Memorial Day Weekend. However, it is nice that it also is keeping us dry.

Upstairs at the jet stream level, our previous upper-level low is working across the southern Great Lakes. While that departure is keeping us dry for tonight and Saturday, we’ll see another wave form out west and ride along the jet to bring more rain chances our way fairly soon.

Through the rest of the night, we’ll have partly to mostly cloudy skies across the area with no rain chances to worry about. However, a northeast breeze coming from the high over Wisconsin will still force temperatures down into the middle 40s to start our Saturday morning out.

Saturday’s looking like a pretty good day for us. With partly sunny skies and no rain chances in the forecast, a light breeze mainly from the north will allow temperatures to rebound after our cool start in the morning. Even though we’ll be mild for Saturday, we’ll have temperatures in the upper 60s. It’ll feel like another day in early to middle April around here.

While it will be nice to have mostly clear skies for Saturday night and Sunday morning, that will make sure we turn cool once again. With a light breeze out of the east, we’ll have lows dropping back into the upper 40s across the area.

Even though we’ll have temperatures pushing back into the lower 70s for Sunday afternoon, our next wave will start working in from the west. This will mainly start to bring cloud cover back in throughout the day. While some t-storms will try to sneak back in late Sunday afternoon and certainly for Sunday evening, we’ll at least start the day out on a dry note.

For Memorial Day, the wave will park itself across southern Colorado. Energy from that will ride along the jet and continue to keep scattered t-storm chances around for Monday. While it won’t rain all day long, the chances will be there as highs top out around 70°.

That wave will still play a role in our forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday. While Tuesday is looking like the day with more expected coverage of t-storm chances, it’ll still be in the forecast for Wednesday as well. Despite that, we’ll have highs in the lower 70s on Tuesday and middle 70s on Wednesday.

By the end of the week, that wave will move off to the east and allow the warmer side of the jet to return. With that and partly sunny skies, we’ll see highs back in the lower 80s for Thursday and Friday.

For a look at the next few weeks, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below. Have a good night and a great Friday!


Next Saturday: Staying warm with thunderstorms and a possible low severe threat.

June 6th-June 12th: A warm week with thunderstorms on Sunday.  Most of the week looks good till storms by Saturday.

June 13th-19th:  Another warm week with several rounds of storms during the middle of the week.

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