Good Tuesday evening, everyone. Our March has been nice and quiet for us so far with today being no exception. After we saw highs climb back into the lower 50s yesterday, we saw our lows this morning turn cold once again. Once we got past sunrise, our mostly sunny skies worked together with the dry air and the southwest breeze in place. After we started in the upper 20s, Mother Nature wasted no time sending us back near 60 for afternoon highs today.
For those wondering how long this nice setup will stick around, let’s break down our weather setup. The surface map below shows a frontal boundary to our north not heading our way anytime soon. In the meantime, we have an area of high pressure over the ArkLaTex and a weak trough with an area of low pressure out to our west. That’s what brought the southwest wind back into play today and that will remain in place for your Wednesday.
At the jet stream level, we do have a few features we’re watching over the next few days. The upper-level low that was sitting over the Texas/Oklahoma border last night slid just to our south and kept any moisture that could have resulted in a little cloud cover and a random shower for a few spots this morning just to our south. Now, that low is working across the Tennessee Valley and the Southeast. We’ll see the upper-level ridge over the Central and Southern Plains slide in to keep us quiet and mild for a few days before the upper low west of Los Angeles plays a role in our forecast.
For the rest of the night and heading into Wednesday morning, we’ll continue to enjoy mostly clear skies, dry air and a light southwest breeze. While this will mean another cold start for our Wednesday, at least it won’t be as cold as it was this morning. Even with a few spots in our northern and western areas trying to sneak back in the middle 30s, most of us will bottom out in the upper 30s for Wednesday morning.
Once we get past sunrise, the mostly sunny skies with our dry air and southwest breeze at 5-15 mph will allow temperatures to warm up quickly once again throughout the day. While most of the area will already be in the lower 60s by lunchtime, we’ll see afternoon highs push into the upper 60s across the region. I wouldn’t be surprised if a few spots hit 70 degrees before the afternoon is all said and done.
The upper-level ridge that will work in and keep us quite mild for Wednesday holds steady for Thursday. Even with partly sunny skies, we’ll have temperatures go from the lower 40s in the morning back into the upper 60s for Thursday afternoon. While the next 2 days look great, we have our eyes on the upper low out west.
That upper-level low near Los Angeles will work across the Desert Southwest and into the Central/Southern Plains over the next few days. It will change our weather up as we roll into Friday. With some moisture to work with, we’ll have cloudy skies and periods of scattered showers roll in to get our weekend started. That will also temporarily cool us down with highs only topping out in the lower 50s.
Fortunately, that’s the only bump in the road for our weekend forecast. That wave moves on Friday night and we see another upper-level ridge work back on top of us. Whether it’s mostly sunny on Saturday or partly sunny on Sunday, we’ll enjoy highs near 60 for the rest of the weekend. While we enjoy that part of the weekend, we’ll focus on another upper-level low coming out of the Gulf of Alaska.
While we stay quiet and mild for Monday with highs in the lower 60s under partly sunny skies, we’ll watch for that upper low for early next week change things up by Tuesday. Early indications show that this wave wants to send a front our way by late Tuesday afternoon. As it does, we’ll see skies turn mostly cloudy and we’ll have a chance for scattered t-storms by Tuesday afternoon and into Tuesday evening.
If you’re wondering how we look for the rest of March and the first few days of April, Doug has you covered with his long range forecast down below.
Have a good night and a great Wednesday!
Next Wednesday-Saturday: Staying mild for Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday. Cooling down and drier for the weekend.
March 14th-20th: We start the week with rain or snow chances on Sunday. The cycle before this system produced 1″ of snow. With cool temperatures for Sunday, we’ll watch it. Mild temperatures return for Tuesday and Wednesday with rain chances on Wednesday and Thursday. This system gave us severe weather with some tornado warnings on January 30th, lets watch this one! Cool for Friday before we turn milder for Saturday as we start a dry weekend out.
March 21st-27th: We’ll be mild for Sunday and Monday before we turn briefly cooler for Tuesday. A brief jump to a mild Wednesday before we stay cool for the rest of the week. We’ll watch for slight rain chances on Monday and better rain chances for Wednesday and Thursday.
March 28th-April 3rd: Cool temperatures for Sunday and Monday. We’ll briefly turn mild for Tuesday and Wednesday before we cool back down for the rest of the week. We’ll watch for rain chances on Sunday, slight rain chances on Wednesday, rain chances on Thursday and rain/snow chances to start the weekend out.