Good Saturday evening, everyone. After we started the weekend out on a cool note with highs in the upper 40s, we trended quite a bit milder today with highs in the lower to middle 60s. That was certainly a good bounce in temperatures after dealing with cold temperatures and some dense fog to start our Saturday morning out.

Breaking down our weather setup, we had a quiet day before we had some scattered rain and t-storms develop late in the afternoon and to start the evening out. The Storm Prediction Center did clip areas just to our south with a marginal risk for a few strong to severe t-storms with hail being possible. Fortunately, any rain and t-storms we’ve seen this evening have behaved. The changing upper-level dynamics and thermodynamics will shift any potential for t-storms with some small hail to our east. That being said, we still have a cold front to our west.

Looking at the setup upstairs, we have an upper-level low working across the northern Rockies. This low at the jet stream level will actually split into two as we work into Sunday. One low will track across the Northern Plains and push our cold front through and rain chances out of here by tomorrow afternoon. The other low will dig into the Desert Southwest as we work into Sunday and Monday.

Looking ahead, we’ll have to start things out with scattered showers and a few t-storms during the overnight and into our Sunday morning. You can see how the cold front working in will work to serve as additional lift to keep scattered rain chances and a few t-storms in the forecast. Even if we hear some rumbles of thunder, we aren’t expecting anything severe.

While most of us will stay in the 50s to start the overnight out, cooler air behind the front will drop us back into the 40s as we get our Sunday morning started.

While some scattered showers are possible to start the day, the passing cold front will put an end to that by late morning and into the afternoon ahead of us.

Even though the front clears out the rain chances for the afternoon, the cloud cover may not be so eager to rapidly follow suit. With mostly cloudy skies still expected for the afternoon and a north wind at 5-15 mph (gusts near 20), we’ll only see afternoon temperatures climb back into the lower 50s.

Once we get the evening started, we’ll see our skies start to turn mostly clear. However, the lighter north breeze will mean a cool evening leading to a cold start in the upper 20s for our Monday morning.

With partly to mostly sunny skies and a light north breeze for Monday, we’ll start the work/school week out on a good note with highs bouncing back into the lower 50s across the region.

Let’s talk about the rest of the week. Do you remember the upper-level low out in the northern Rockies and how it will split into two separate waves? The second wave will come out of the Desert Southwest and work across the Southern Plains. This wants to track to our south as we work into Tuesday. There’s still some indications of some moisture wanting to clip us as it passes to our south. If enough moisture can work in for Tuesday morning as we see lows in the lower to middle 30s, this could result in some scattered rain/snow showers to start the day out. Other indications want the moisture to stay to our south. I have some scattered rain/snow showers possible for Tuesday morning before we head toward a dry Tuesday afternoon with highs around 50. While this doesn’t look like a big system for us, it’s something we’ll still watch for the next few days.