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Fire risk staying to our southwest Thursday

While we deal with our cold front with rain chances to start Thursday out and trailing down to some scattered rain and snow showers by lunchtime, a fire risk is presenting itself to our southwest. A strengthening low will spin across the Great Lakes while the same cold front working through here will also work across Texas. We see any moist advection staying across the Lower Mississippi Valley while areas across the Southern Plains and parts of the Desert Southwest will have drier air in place. With windy conditions set across parts of southeastern New Mexico and western parts of Texas with wind speeds between 15 and 25 mph ahead of the front and relative humidity values ranging between 12% and 25%, an elevated fire risk is in place for Thursday. Conditions will improve as the system moves along, the winds die down and the humidity values start to rise Thursday night and into Friday.

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Changes still in place on the weekly planner

With our first cold front working in on Thursday, that will be the first of many changes rolling in as we continue through the planner. Temperatures will be in the lower to middle 50s for much of Thursday morning before we drop into the 30s and 40s by lunchtime and into the afternoon. With the front having some moisture to work with, that means scattered rain chances to start the day before we see a quick shot of a rain/snow mix for some before the precipitation chances end after lunchtime. Friday looks like an okay start to the weekend with partly sunny skies and highs around 48. Even though we’ll top out in the middle 40s for Saturday, our next stronger cold front will work in. Not only will this give us a good chance for scattered rain and snow showers during the day and into early Saturday evening, it will drop us into cold territory for Sunday. Even with partly sunny skies for Sunday, we’ll start in the middle to upper teens and top out in the upper 30s for Super Bowl Sunday. The next thing we’ll watch for will be a couple of waves for Monday and Tuesday. The first one will leave us with early highs in the lower 40s before we turn colder throughout the day. That means we’ll watch for a wintry mix of rain, ice and snow as the new work/school week kicks off. By Tuesday, another wave keeps us cloudy and cold with moisture resulting in some possible snow and sleet chances we’ll keep an eye on. By Wednesday, we’ll calm things down and turn partly sunny again with highs staying cold in the middle 20s.