While we deal with our cold front with rain chances to start Thursday out and trailing down to some scattered rain and snow showers by lunchtime, a fire risk is presenting itself to our southwest. A strengthening low will spin across the Great Lakes while the same cold front working through here will also work across Texas. We see any moist advection staying across the Lower Mississippi Valley while areas across the Southern Plains and parts of the Desert Southwest will have drier air in place. With windy conditions set across parts of southeastern New Mexico and western parts of Texas with wind speeds between 15 and 25 mph ahead of the front and relative humidity values ranging between 12% and 25%, an elevated fire risk is in place for Thursday. Conditions will improve as the system moves along, the winds die down and the humidity values start to rise Thursday night and into Friday.